Not All of the Polls Were Wrong
A conversation with the Iowa pollster who called this election right.
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Episode Notes
In the lead-up to the 2020 election, Iowa polls had Biden and Trump running neck and neck to win the state’s 6 electoral votes. However, one poll in late October showed that Trump had taken a 7-point lead over Biden. Many political observers and Democrats dismissed it as an outlier, insisting that Iowa was up for grabs. On election night? Trump won Iowa by just over 8 points.
How did Ann Selzer see this coming? And what does the “Outlier Queen” have to say about the state of her industry?
Guest: Ann Selzer, public opinion pollster and president of Selzer & Company.
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Podcast production by Mary Wilson, Jayson De Leon, Danielle Hewitt, Elena Schwartz, and Frannie Kelley.
