The Slatest

Today’s Trump Apocalypse Watch: Knock on Wood but Trump Might Be Done

Preparations for this Sunday’s presidential debate in St. Louis in a photo taken Friday.

Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images

The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.

An hour and a half ago Donald Trump had, according to FiveThirtyEight, a 20 percent chance of winning the presidency. Then the Washington Post published a recording of Trump on a hot mic in 2005 bragging that women allow him to grab them “by the pussy” because he is famous. (“When you’re a star they let you do it. You can do anything.”)

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Anything can happen; Hillary Clinton could get surprised by her own October Surprise. But it is going to take a lot of work for Trump, in under a month, to overcome a six-point deficit that, thanks to this story, is about to get bigger. We’re lowering the danger level to an unprecedented 0.25 horsemen.

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Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons.

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