The Slatest

Today’s Trump Apocalypse Watch: Knock on Wood but Trump Might Be Done

Preparations for this Sunday’s presidential debate in St. Louis in a photo taken Friday.

Paul J. Richards/AFP/Getty Images

The Trump Apocalypse Watch is a subjective daily estimate, using a scale of one to four horsemen, of how likely it is that Donald Trump will be elected president, thus triggering an apocalypse in which we all die.

An hour and a half ago Donald Trump had, according to FiveThirtyEight, a 20 percent chance of winning the presidency. Then the Washington Post published a recording of Trump on a hot mic in 2005 bragging that women allow him to grab them “by the pussy” because he is famous. (“When you’re a star they let you do it. You can do anything.”)

Anything can happen; Hillary Clinton could get surprised by her own October Surprise. But it is going to take a lot of work for Trump, in under a month, to overcome a six-point deficit that, thanks to this story, is about to get bigger. We’re lowering the danger level to an unprecedented 0.25 horsemen.

Photo illustration by Slate. Photo by Getty Images, Wikimedia Commons.