“Hillary Deathwatch” Odds: 0.4 Percent

The high-stakes drama of Saturday’s rules committee meeting appearsillusory. Meanwhile, Obama rakes in more superdelegates, putting him40.5 away from the nomination. According to our formula, that sinksClinton to 0.4 percent .

T minus one day and counting to the DNC’s Rules and Bylaws Committee meeting. Can you feel the suspense? Clinton supporters are busing up from Florida. Obama fans are being encouraged to stay home. Tout le m édia will hang on Howard Dean’s every word, as well as those uttered by theObama and Clinton campaign surrogates sent to argue their cases.

But the drama is largely phony. DNC lawyers have said that seating any more than half of the Michigan and Florida delegations would violate party rules . The proposed solutions are well-known . And every likely compromise fails to put Clinton within range of catching Obama, who now leads by 200 delegates. …

Read more at the Hillary Deathwatch .