Everyone leads with the fighting in Lebanon and Israel, which continues to get worse. Eight Israelis were killed after Hezbollah rockets hit Haifa on Sunday, and early-morning reports say Hezbollah has struck the Galilee region of Israel for the first time, hitting several towns but causing no casualties. Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah’s leader, promised “new surprises.”
Israel, in turn, continued its air assault on Lebanon, killing 45, including nine Lebanese soldiers at army bases in the north (remember that it’s Hezbollah, not the Lebanese armed forces, attacking Israel) and eight Canadian citizens.
Israeli officials said that the missile that hit Haifa was a Fajr-3, which is Iranian-designed but may have been built in Syria. “The impact of the deaths and the use of the new missile were a qualitative and psychological escalation of the conflict,” the New York Times says.
It also prompted the papers to look at Hezbollah’s arsenal, details of which are not well-known. But the group is thought to have more than 10,000 of the short-range, inaccurate Katyusha rockets that have been most commonly used during the last five days. (The NYT quotes an Israeli official as saying that fewer than 900 have been used so far.) The range of the missiles goes up to (possibly) 60 or 80 miles with the Iranian-made Zelzal, which if Hezbollah possesses could reach the edges of the Tel Aviv area. Hezbollah, for its part, says it used Raad missiles to attack Haifa.
According to Israeli military sources quoted in Ha’aretz, use of the longer-range missiles would require approval from Tehran.
The Los Angeles Times and NYT both run good analyses of why the Arab world is dithering over how to respond to the conflict, when conventional wisdom would suggest they would be cheering on anyone attacking Israel. The big reason that’s not happening, both stories agree, is that the conflict showcases the ascendance of Iran, a traditional rival to Arab states. As the NYT puts it, “Israel is the devil they know, but Iran is the growing threat.”
Another factor is that the success and gumption of ragtag Hezbollah makes the big Arab states’ failure to do anything against Israel stand out, said an analyst quoted in the LAT. Another observer notes that Lebanon is home to “the most pro-American Arabs in the Middle East,” and the failure of the U.S. to stand up to Israel will be disappointing to them.
The Wall Street Journal observes on its front page that because Hezbollah has no bases or armories and instead keeps its rocket-launchers in supporters’ homes, it will be nearly impossible for Israel to take them out without a brutal ground invasion.
World leaders at the G8 summit in Russia put out an anodyne statement on the conflict, blaming Hezbollah and Hamas for escalating the violence but asking Israel to practice restraint. France wanted the statement to call for a cease-fire, but the U.S. blocked it. The leaders also agreed to look at the possibility of an international force to deploy to the Israel-Lebanon border, but no specifics were offered. The European Union is looking at such a force, but Israel’s prime minister says he’s against it, according to early-morning reports. The NYT’s G8 story leads with an even more anodyne agreement on energy security.
Meanwhile, in Gaza City, Israeli airstrikes leveled the Palestinian Foreign Ministry building this morning.
As the U.S. starts to transfer control of some regions of Iraq to local security forces, a couple of problems are starting to emerge: It’s not working, and the Sunnis, of all people, want the U.S. to stay.
The Sunnis, after leading an anti-U.S. insurgency since the early days of the occupation, are now starting to believe that the U.S. is the only bulwark against Shiite aggression, the NYT reports on the front page.
And in 80 percent of Baghdad, Iraqi forces now take the lead in security operations. But, as the LAT points out, the city has seen a “much-noted deterioration, despite a state of emergency that has throttled commercial and civic life.” For example, the number of people killed in Baghdad in June: 2,020, of which 1,360 were killed by short-range small arms fire. (The number of homicides in Washington, D.C., during the same month, in case anyone is interested in comparing: 20.)
A suicide bomber killed 26 people in a cafe in northern Iraq.
A Mexico City crowd estimated at more than 1 million people heard the leftist would-be president call for “peaceful resistance.”
The Post fronts a progress report on Democracy Alliance, a secretive liberal organization that has funneled $50 million to think tanks and advocacy groups in the last year. Centrist Democrats in Washington are miffed, er, concerned about the secrecy and that the effort may siphon away money needed for winning elections in the short term.
Darn whippersnappers … LA Times op-ed contributor Niall Ferguson knows whom and what to blame for the crises in the Middle East: “Young people and hot weather.”