Home
News & Politics
Arts & Life
Business & Tech
Health & Science
Style & Shopping
Travel & Food
Sports
Slate on NPR
Output Options
About Us

Search Slate

Advanced Search


readme    Policy made plain.

The Parties and the Economy II: One Year Policy Lag

By Michael Kinsley

1930-2006
1930-2006 (lag)
1981-2006
1981-2006 (lag)
Summary


Taxes   Spending   Deficit   "Bureau-crats" National Debt Inflation    Jobs   Growth  
  Federal government receipts as % of GDP change in Federal receipts as % of GDP Federal gov't outlays as % of GDP change in Federal outlays as % of GDP defense outlays as % of total outlays change in non-defense outlays as % of GDP Surplus(+)/ Deficit(-) as % of GDP change in surplus/deficit as % of GDP federal civilian employees (000) change in civilian employees federal debt held by public as % of GDP change in fed debt held by public as % GDP Consumer Price Index (1984=100) change in consumer price index total employed (thousand) change in total employed ("jobs created," thousands) Real GDP (billions of year 2000 dollars) % change in real GDP President House Senate Control of Congress (S=split) Control of both branches
1931 3.70 4.30 (0.60)   R R R R R
1932 2.80 (0.90) 6.90 2.60 (4.00) (3.40)   R R R R R
1933 3.50 0.70 8.00 1.10 (4.50) (0.50)   R R R R R
1934 4.80 1.30 10.70 2.70 (5.90) (1.40)   D D R S S
1935 5.20 0.40 9.20 (1.50) (4.00) 1.90   D D D D D
1936 5.00 (0.20) 10.50 1.30 (5.50) (1.50)   D D D D D
1937 6.10 1.10 8.60 (1.90) (2.50) 3.00   D D D D D
1938 7.60 1.50 7.70 (0.90) (0.10) 2.40   D D D D D
1939 7.10 (0.50) 10.30 2.60 (3.20) (3.10)   D D D D D
1940 6.80 (0.30) 9.80 (0.50) (3.00) 0.20 443.00 44.20 47,520.00 D D D D D
1941 7.60 0.80 12.00 2.20 (4.30) (1.30) 525.00 526.30 42.30 (1.90) 50,350.00 2,830.00 D D D D D
1942 10.10 2.50 24.30 12.30 (14.20) (9.90) 643.00 652.90 47.00 4.70 53,750.00 3,400.00 D D D D D
1943 13.30 3.20 43.60 19.30 (30.30) (16.10) 735.00 751.10 70.90 23.90 54,470.00 720.00 D D D D
1944 20.90 7.60 43.60 0.00 (22.70) 7.60 683.00 675.40 88.30 17.40 53,960.00 (510.00) D D D D D
1945 20.40 (0.50) 41.90 (1.70) (21.50) 1.20 736.00 734.80 106.20 17.90 52,820.00 (1,140.00) D D D D D
1946 17.60 (2.80) 24.80 (17.10) (7.20) 14.30 795.00 780.70 108.60 2.40 55,250.00 2,430.00 D D D D D
1947 16.50 (1.10) 14.80 (10.00) 1.70 8.90 777.00 768.10 96.20 (12.40) 57,038.00 1,788.00 D D D D D
1948 16.20 (0.30) 11.60 (3.20) 4.60 2.90 698.00 695.10 84.50 (11.70) 58,343.00 1,305.00 D R D S S
1949 14.50 (1.70) 14.30 2.70 0.20 (4.40) 694.00 698.40 79.10 (5.40) 57,651.00 (692.00) D R R R S
1950 14.40 (0.10) 15.60 1.30 (1.10) (1.30) 686.00 687.30 80.20 1.10 58,918.00 1,267.00 D D R S S
1951 16.10 1.70 14.20 (1.40) 1.90 3.00 738.00 735.00 66.90 (13.30) 59,961.00 1,043.00 D D D D D
1952 19.00 2.90 19.40 5.20 (0.40) (2.30) 729.00 731.30 61.60 (5.30) 60,250.00 289.00 D D D D D
1953 18.70 (0.30) 20.40 1.00 (1.70) (1.30) 694.00 695.30 58.60 (3.00) 61,179.00 929.00 D D D D D
1954 18.50 (0.20) 18.80 (1.60) (0.30) 1.40 666.00 664.60 59.50 0.90 60,109.00 (1,070.00) R R D S S
1955 16.60 (1.90) 17.30 (1.50) (0.80) (0.50) 673.00 673.50 57.40 (2.10) 62,170.00 2,061.00 R R R R R
1956 17.50 0.90 16.50 (0.80) 0.90 1.70 684.00 682.30 52.00 (5.40) 63,799.00 1,629.00 R D R S S
1957 17.80 0.30 17.00 0.50 0.80 (0.10) 708.00 708.10 48.70 (3.30) 64,071.00 272.00 R D D D S
1958 17.30 (0.50) 17.90 0.90 (0.60) (1.40) 720.00 721.40 49.20 0.50 63,036.00 (1,035.00) R D D D S
1959 16.10 (1.20) 18.70 0.80 (2.60) (2.00) 727.00 729.00 47.80 (1.40) 29.10 64,630.00 1,594.00 2,441.30 R D D D S
1960 17.90 1.80 17.80 (0.90) 0.10 2.70 761.00 758.30 45.70 (2.10) 29.60 0.50 65,778.00 1,148.00 2,501.80 2.48 R D D D S
1961 17.80 (0.10) 18.40 0.60 (0.60) (0.70) 782.00 782.70 44.90 (0.80) 29.90 0.30 65,746.00 (32.00) 2,560.00 2.33 R D D D S
1962 17.60 (0.20) 18.80 0.40 46.90 (1.30) (0.70) 827.00 827.70 43.70 (1.20) 30.20 0.30 66,702.00 956.00 2,715.20 6.06 D D D D D
1963 17.80 0.20 18.60 (0.20) 45.90 0.08 (0.80) 0.50 861.00 860.50 42.40 (1.30) 30.60 0.40 67,762.00 1,060.00 2,834.00 4.38 D D D D D
1964 17.60 (0.20) 18.50 (0.10) 44.40 0.22 (0.90) (0.10) 855.00 855.10 40.10 (2.30) 31.00 0.40 69,305.00 1,543.00 2,998.60 5.81 D D D D D
1965 17.00 (0.60) 17.20 (1.30) 41.30 (0.19) (0.20) 0.70 867.00 866.30 38.00 (2.10) 31.50 0.50 71,088.00 1,783.00 3,191.10 6.42 D D D D D
1966 17.40 0.40 17.90 0.70 42.10 0.27 (0.50) (0.30) 913.00 913.30 35.00 (3.00) 32.40 0.90 72,895.00 1,807.00 3,399.10 6.52 D D D D D
1967 18.30 0.90 19.40 1.50 44.50 0.40 (1.10) (0.60) 949.00 949.60 32.80 (2.20) 33.40 1.00 74,372.00 1,477.00 3,484.60 2.52 D D D D D
1968 17.70 (0.60) 20.60 1.20 45.10 0.54 (2.90) (1.80) 972.00 973.80 33.40 0.60 34.80 1.40 75,920.00 1,548.00 3,652.70 4.82 D D D D D
1969 19.70 2.00 19.40 (1.20) 44.00 (0.45) 0.30 3.20 960.00 956.80 29.30 (4.10) 36.70 1.90 77,902.00 1,982.00 3,765.40 3.09 D D D D D
1970 19.00 (0.70) 19.30 (0.10) 41.00 0.52 (0.30) (0.60) 983.00 983.60 28.00 (1.30) 38.80 2.10 78,678.00 776.00 3,771.90 0.17 R D D D S
1971 17.30 (1.70) 19.50 0.20 36.90 0.92 (2.10) (1.80) 989.00 990.80 28.10 0.10 40.50 1.70 79,367.00 689.00 3,898.60 3.36 R D D D S
1972 17.60 0.30 19.60 0.10 33.70 0.69 (2.00) 0.10 1,009.00 1,008.90 27.40 (0.70) 41.80 1.30 82,153.00 2,786.00 4,105.00 5.29 R D D D S
1973 17.70 0.10 18.80 (0.80) 30.50 0.07 (1.10) 0.90 1,030.00 1,029.10 26.10 (1.30) 44.40 2.60 85,064.00 2,911.00 4,341.50 5.76 R D D D S
1974 18.30 0.60 18.70 (0.10) 28.90 0.23 (0.40) 0.70 1,070.00 1,069.30 23.90 (2.20) 49.30 4.90 86,794.00 1,730.00 4,319.60 (0.50) R D D D S
1975 17.90 (0.40) 21.30 2.60 25.50 2.57 (3.40) (3.00) 1,107.00 1,110.00 25.30 1.40 53.80 4.50 85,846.00 (948.00) 4,311.20 (0.19) R D D D S
1976 17.20 (0.70) 21.40 0.10 23.60 0.48 (4.20) (0.80) 1,147.00 1,147.80 27.50 2.20 56.90 3.10 88,752.00 2,906.00 4,540.90 5.33 R D D D S
1977 18.00 0.80 20.70 (0.70) 22.70 (0.35) (2.70) 1.50 1,173.00 1,171.50 27.80 0.30 60.60 3.70 92,017.00 3,265.00 4,750.50 4.62 R D D D S
1978 18.00 20.70 0.00 23.30 (0.12) (2.70) 0.00 1,225.00 1,225.00 27.40 (0.40) 65.20 4.60 96,048.00 4,031.00 5,015.00 5.57 D D D D D
1979 18.50 0.50 20.20 (0.50) 22.30 (0.18) (1.60) 1.10 1,201.00 1,199.90 25.60 (1.80) 72.60 7.40 98,824.00 2,776.00 5,173.40 3.16 D D D D D
1980 19.00 0.50 21.70 1.50 22.50 1.12 (2.70) (1.10) 1,201.00 1,202.10 26.10 0.50 82.40 9.80 99,303.00 479.00 5,161.70 (0.23) D D D D D
1981 19.60 0.60 22.20 0.50 22.20 0.45 (2.60) 0.10 1,159.00 1,158.90 25.80 (0.30) 90.90 8.50 100,397.00 1,094.00 5,291.70 2.52 D D D D D
1982 19.10 (0.50) 23.10 0.90 24.20 0.24 (4.00) (1.40) 1,121.00 1,122.40 28.60 2.80 96.50 5.60 99,526.00 (871.00) 5,189.30 (1.94) R D R S S
1983 17.50 (1.60) 23.50 0.40 25.30 0.04 (6.00) (2.00) 1,131.00 1,133.00 33.10 4.50 99.60 3.10 100,834.00 1,308.00 5,423.80 4.52 R D R S S
1984 17.40 (0.10) 22.20 (1.30) 25.90 (1.10) (4.80) 1.20 1,127.00 1,125.80 34.00 0.90 103.90 4.30 105,005.00 4,171.00 5,813.60 7.19 R D R S S
1985 17.70 0.30 22.90 0.70 25.90 0.52 (5.10) (0.30) 1,145.00 1,145.30 36.40 2.40 107.60 3.70 107,150.00 2,145.00 6,053.70 4.13 R D R S S
1986 17.40 (0.30) 22.40 (0.50) 26.80 (0.57) (5.00) 0.10 1,108.00 1,107.90 39.40 3.00 109.60 2.00 109,597.00 2,447.00 6,263.60 3.47 R D R S S
1987 18.40 1.00 21.60 (0.80) 27.30 (0.69) (3.20) 1.80 1,142.00 1,140.20 40.70 1.30 113.60 4.00 112,440.00 2,843.00 6,475.10 3.38 R D R S S
1988 18.20 (0.20) 21.30 (0.30) 26.50 (0.05) (3.10) 0.10 1,172.00 1,171.90 41.00 0.30 118.30 4.70 114,968.00 2,528.00 6,742.70 4.13 R D D D S
1989 18.40 0.20 21.20 (0.10) 25.80 0.07 (2.80) 0.30 1,162.00 1,161.70 40.60 (0.40) 124.00 5.70 117,342.00 2,374.00 6,981.40 3.54 R D D D S
1990 18.00 (0.40) 21.80 0.60 23.10 1.03 (3.90) (1.10) 1,216.00 1,217.10 42.00 1.40 130.70 6.70 118,793.00 1,451.00 7,112.50 1.88 R D D D S
1991 17.80 (0.20) 22.30 0.50 19.80 1.12 (4.50) (0.60) 1,230.00 1,230.60 45.30 3.30 136.20 5.50 117,718.00 (1,075.00) 7,100.50 (0.17) R D D D S
1992 17.50 (0.30) 22.10 (0.20) 20.70 (0.36) (4.70) (0.20) 1,274.00 1,274.20 48.10 2.80 140.30 4.10 118,492.00 774.00 7,336.60 3.33 R D D D S
1993 17.60 0.10 21.40 (0.70) 19.80 (0.36) (3.90) 0.80 1,266.00 1,265.20 49.40 1.30 144.50 4.20 120,259.00 1,767.00 7,532.70 2.67 R D D D S
1994 18.10 0.50 21.00 (0.40) 18.40 (0.03) (2.90) 1.00 1,235.00 1,234.00 49.30 (0.10) 148.20 3.70 123,060.00 2,801.00 7,835.50 4.02 D D D D D
1995 18.50 0.40 20.70 (0.30) 17.10 0.02 (2.20) 0.70 1,210.00 1,209.30 49.20 (0.10) 152.40 4.20 124,900.00 1,840.00 8,031.70 2.50 D D D D D
1996 18.90 0.40 20.30 (0.40) 16.20 (0.15) (1.40) 0.80 1,166.00 1,165.20 48.50 (0.70) 156.90 4.50 126,708.00 1,808.00 8,328.90 3.70 D R R R S
1997 19.30 0.40 19.60 (0.70) 16.10 (0.57) (0.30) 1.10 1,149.00 1,147.90 46.10 (2.40) 160.50 3.60 129,558.00 2,850.00 8,703.50 4.50 D R R R S
1998 20.00 0.70 19.20 (0.40) 15.50 (0.22) 0.80 1.10 1,163.00 1,161.90 43.10 (3.00) 163.00 2.50 131,463.00 1,905.00 9,066.90 4.18 D R R R S
1999 20.00 0.00 18.70 (0.50) 15.40 (0.40) 1.40 0.60 1,155.00 1,154.40 39.80 (3.30) 166.60 3.60 133,488.00 2,025.00 9,470.30 4.45 D R R R S
2000 20.90 0.90 18.40 (0.30) 15.70 (0.31) 2.40 1.00 1,127.00 1,126.00 35.10 (4.70) 172.20 5.60 136,891.00 3,403.00 9,817.00 3.66 D R R R S
2001 19.80 (1.10) 18.50 0.10 15.60 0.10 1.30 (1.10) 1,145.00 1,146.10 33.00 (2.10) 177.10 4.90 136,993.00 102.00 9,890.70 0.75 D R R R S
2002 17.90 (1.90) 19.40 0.90 16.50 0.58 (1.50) (2.80) 1,173.00 1,175.80 34.10 1.10 179.90 2.80 136,485.00 (508.00) 10,048.80 1.60 R R D S S
2003 16.50 (1.40) 20.00 0.60 18.00 0.20 (3.50) (2.00) 1,231.00 1,233.00 36.20 2.10 184.00 4.10 137,736.00 1,251.00 10,320.60 2.70 R R D S S
2004 16.30 (0.20) 19.90 (0.10) 19.10 (0.30) (3.60) (0.10) 1,238.00 1,238.10 37.20 1.00 188.90 4.90 139,252.00 1,516.00 10,755.70 4.22 R R R R R
2005 17.50 1.20 20.10 0.20 19.20 0.14 (2.60) 1.00 1,224.00 1,223.00 37.40 0.20 195.30 6.40 141,730.00 2,478.00 11,131.10 3.49 R R R R R
  R R R R R
 
Average 15.96 0.19 19.00 0.21 26.85 0.15 (3.04) (0.03) 971.29 979.41 45.77 (0.10) 96.09 3.61 89,096.61 1,449.38 5,950.02 3.37
Average R President 15.99 (0.20) 18.50 0.11 16.85 0.16 (2.52) (0.31) 921.92 922.11 34.52 0.36 73.54 2.68 85,703.81 1,202.25 4,495.11 2.13
Average D President 15.54 0.52 18.97 0.30 14.36 0.02 (3.43) 0.23 772.90 761.64 44.46 (0.49) 46.72 1.74 69,875.98 1,273.23 2,945.68 1.96
R  v. D D R R R D D R R D D R D D D R D R R
Average R Congress 13.84 (0.11) 14.68 0.20 9.49 (0.12) (0.84) (0.31) 766.71 766.75 32.62 (1.61) 98.61 2.57 85,421.71 1,246.86 5,511.72 2.07
Average D Congress 16.13 0.37 19.82 0.28 17.52 0.18 (3.70) 0.09 846.10 837.03 40.93 0.26 43.69 2.05 72,133.27 1,241.57 2,997.93 2.06
Average Split Congress 16.41 (0.22) 19.10 (0.05) 14.61 (0.06) (2.68) (0.16) 916.31 916.36 42.98 0.23 76.52 2.28 88,457.08 1,224.38 4,276.04 1.93
R v. D R R R R R R R R R R R R D D R R R R
Split Congress v. D or R? DR S DR S DR S DR DR DR DR DR DR DR S S DR S DR
R Congress AND White House 8.63 (0.16) 10.93 0.33 5.47 (0.02) (2.30) (0.50) 447.86 447.80 18.86 (0.13) 54.89 1.61 49,021.71 865.00 3,126.69 1.10
D Congress AND White House 15.16 0.59 18.91 (0.30) 16.55 0.07 (3.75) 0.89 730.97 714.90 42.00 (0.39) 30.08 1.55 61,053.66 1,249.52 2,156.89 1.97
Split branches  17.54 (0.14) 19.40 0.07 17.00 0.11 (1.86) (0.21) 1,000.95 1,001.12 41.03 (0.47) 83.58 2.82 95,184.56 1,312.79 5,005.50 2.32
R v. D R R R D R R R D R R R D D D D D R D
Split branches v. D or R? DR S DR DR DR DR S DR DR DR DR S DR DR S S S S

1930-2006
1930-2006 (lag)
1981-2006
1981-2006 (lag)
Summary




    Feedback | About Us | Help | Advertise | Newsletters
    ©2006 Washingtonpost.Newsweek Interactive Co. LLC  |  User Agreement and Privacy Policy  |  All rights reserved