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    Momentum and Who Votes Next

    Posted Wednesday, February 06, 2008 3:17 PM | By Emily Bazelon
    Meghan, about your momentum question, I've been thinking about it this way: Does Obama have enough momentum to continue gaining? Since Hillary expected to sew it up on Super Tuesday a political lifetime ago, that seems like a fair framing. The best answer I saw today came from Noam Scheiber at TNR, in a post that David Plotz sent around to us at Slate. The upcoming contests over the next couple of weeks are either caucuses (Nebraska, Washington state, Maine), which have favored Obama, or have demographics that favor Obama (Louisiana, Maryland, D.C., Virginia). Then, in the beginning of March, the race will shift to Ohio and Texas, where Hillary has been ahead. If Obama has indeed won most of the intervening contests, that will be the big mo test.
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