Trailhead: A campaign blog.

The Contest: New Yorker Takes Lead

The Trailhead Primary Pool has a new frontrunner after New Hampshire, which counted for twice as much as Iowa for correct guesses. Larry Krajeski, the executive director of the non-profit Catskill Mountain Housing Development Corporation in central New York, has 16 of a possible 18 points, including a 1.000 batting average for the Republicans.

Krajeski, who used to live in Massachusetts, says he picked McCain to win New Hampshire because he thinks the Arizona senator fits in well in New England. “If I met him on the street, I might think he was from New Hampshire,” he says. “He’s that flinty, Yankee type.”

Clinton will do well on Super-Duper Tuesday, he predicted, powering her through to the nomination. He’s less optimistic about the other New Yorker running for president.

“I don’t have much faith in our other native son, Rudy Giuliani,” he said, predicting that the former New York City mayor could become merely “a footnote in the history of bad campaigns.”

Besides Krajeski, only one other contestant, Paul Stenbjorn, correctly guessed the top three Republicans in both states. Four contestants—Carl Hetler, Craig Stuart, Marco Forehand and Laura Marschel—predicted the top three Democrats for both states in the correct order.