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  The Conventional Wisdom of the Crowd

  Posted Thursday, January 03, 2008 6:29 PM | By Chadwick Matlin

  Entry to Trailhead's first-ever contest has closed. Here are the percentage breakdowns of where the candidates will finish tonight, according to Slate readers. These are the percent of readers who think the given candidate will finish first, second, or third in the caucus.
  

  Dems	Edwards	Clinton	Obama	Biden
  First	21%	16%	63%	0%
  Second	32%	42%	26%	0%
  Third	44%	41%	11%	4%
  GOP	Giuliani	Romney	McCain	Huckabee
  First	1%	35%	1%	63%
  Second	0%	62%	5%	33%
  Third	7%	3%	72%	3%

  
  (Not listed are Fred Thompson (9% of readers think he'll finish third) and Ron Paul (6% of readers think he'll finish third. Neither had any first or second place predictions.

  With Chris Wilson and Jon Rubin.
  

  Filed under: The Contest

About Chadwick Matlin

• Chadwick Matlin is the staff reporter for Slate's The Big Money, a new business site launching in the fall. He can be reached at Chadwick.Matlin+TH@gmail.com

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